Could Israel’s 2026 election mark Liberman’s final chapter?

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Could Israel’s 2026 election mark Liberman’s final chapter?

Avigdor Liberman, the leader of Yisrael Beytenu, stands out as a notable player in Israeli politics, having been an integral part of its landscape for over 30 years. As one of the few political figures with extensive experience, he has held pivotal roles such as minister of defense, foreign affairs, and finance, making him a seasoned politician, second only to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

Liberman’s Political Journey

Liberman first gained attention as Netanyahu’s director-general after the elections in 1996. With aspirations to influence Israeli politics directly, he ventured into electoral politics and founded Yisrael Beytenu before the 1999 elections. This right-wing party primarily represented immigrants from the former Soviet Union and managed to secure four seats in the Knesset. This marked the beginning of Liberman’s push for political significance.

Throughout his career, Liberman has encountered rivals, notably Natan Sharansky, whose party, Yisrael Ba’aliyah, posed a challenge in the same election. Liberman aligned himself with Netanyahu, advocating for a platform that called for constitutional reforms and proposed a presidential system, which faced criticism from figures such as then-Supreme Court President Aharon Barak.

Electoral Challenges and Shifts

The year 2000 marked a turning point when Yisrael Beytenu merged with the National Union, resulting in seven Knesset seats during the 2003 elections. Liberman’s party regularly aligned with Ariel Sharon’s government, though friction led to his exit on multiple occasions due to disagreements over policies like the Gaza disengagement plan.

In a bold move during the 2006 elections, Liberman chose to run independently, leading to significant success as his party climbed to eleven seats. This campaign prominently highlighted territorial swaps involving Israeli Arabs and called for loyalty declarations from citizens, sparking debates around his far-right stance. Despite challenges, Liberman’s popularity saw Yisrael Beytenu secure 15 seats in the 2009 elections, leading to his appointment as foreign minister.

Recent Developments and Future Aspirations

The relationship between Liberman and Netanyahu has fluctuated over time. Following the 2015 elections, in which Yisrael Beytenu only won six seats, Liberman distanced himself from Netanyahu’s coalition. Nonetheless, he was appointed as defense minister in 2016, but he resigned in late 2018, opposing the ceasefire agreement with Hamas, which he perceived as a surrender to terrorism.

Since the first elections of 2019, Liberman has positioned himself as a significant voice against Netanyahu. During the political turmoil that followed, many perceived him to play a key role in the resulting instability, which led to five elections held over a short span. As the political landscape remains contentious, the upcoming 2026 elections may prove to be pivotal for Liberman, now 68, as he strives to establish a viable alternative to Netanyahu.

With current polls indicating he might secure only five to eight seats, Liberman’s aspirations for the premiership seem increasingly unrealistic. Nevertheless, he holds the potential to influence the post-election environment significantly, especially as neither electoral bloc appears likely to achieve the necessary majority without collaboration with Arab parties. There is hope that he will act responsibly to help navigate Israel through its ongoing political challenges, setting a new course for governance.

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