Turkey is rapidly establishing itself as a formidable player in the global arms market, primarily driven by the surge in drone technology, air defense systems, and precision-guided munitions. As Russian exports decline and competition in the arms industry intensifies, Turkey is seizing the moment to expand its influence in regions historically dominated by long-established suppliers.
Turkey’s Growing Military Exports
In the first half of 2026, Turkey’s defense exports reached approximately $4.67 billion, marking a 29.5% increase compared to the previous year, according to Haluk Görgün, head of Turkey’s Defense Industry Agency. Annual exports exceeded $11 billion for the first time, showcasing a significant upward trajectory. Data from the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) ranks Turkey as the 11th largest arms exporter globally from 2021 to 2025, doubling its market share from 0.9% in 2016-2020 to 1.8%. Meanwhile, Russia’s arms export share diminished significantly, falling from 21% to just 6.8%.
The rise in Turkey’s arms production is particularly notable in the drone sector, where it leads the global market alongside the United States and China. Research from the Center for a New American Security highlights that Turkish firms have accounted for 65% of armed drone sales among these three nations since 2018. This strong focus on drone technology is helping Turkey to carve out a niche despite stiff competition from traditional military powerhouses.
Strategic Partnerships and New Markets
Among Turkey’s expanding client base is Saudi Arabia, which has become one of Turkey’s primary customers for military equipment amidst escalating conflicts in the region. Reports suggest that Turkey has supplied the Kingdom with various military assets, including air defense systems, precision-guided munitions, and electronic warfare systems. Such partnerships not only bolster Turkey’s export figures but also enhance its strategic relationships in the Middle East.
Additionally, Turkey is eyeing opportunities to sell military systems to Iraq, indicating a broader ambition to penetrate defense markets across Europe, Asia, and Africa. Turkish exports have reached countries that maintain strong ties with Russia and China, allowing Turkey to diversify its clientele and reduce dependency on specific markets.
Innovations in Defense Technology
Turkey’s advancements in military technology are underscored by its development of a domestic air defense network termed the “Steel Dome,” which includes various systems ranging from short-range to long-range capabilities. Turkey aims to phase out its reliance on foreign defense systems such as the Russian S-400, which previously incurred U.S. sanctions on Turkey’s defense industry. The nation wishes to establish autonomy in defense production, decreasing dependency on others while enhancing its internal capabilities.
In areas such as Libya, Azerbaijan, and Syria, Turkish military equipment has proven effective in real-world conflicts, strengthening its reputation and appeal in the arms market. As global dynamics shift, Turkey has shown the ability to capitalize on vacancies left by traditional suppliers, especially in markets affected by political upheaval or military sanctions.
Future Prospects and Challenges Ahead
Despite its rising profile, Turkey still trails behind Russia and China in overall arms exports. Experts suggest that Turkey’s competitive pricing, favorable financing terms, and quick response times to customer needs are pivotal for attracting new business in an increasingly saturated market. Countries in the Middle East and Gulf regions are actively diversifying their military procurement strategies while maintaining relationships with conventional suppliers.
As Turkey continues to navigate the complexities of the global arms landscape, it stands positioned to further expand its influence. The ongoing enhancements in its defense technologies, coupled with strategic partnerships in varied regions, promise sustained growth in its arms export capabilities. The interplay of geopolitical factors and military requirements will shape Turkey’s future trajectory in this competitive arena.