The Likud party is preparing for the 26th Knesset elections, scheduled for October 27, 2026. Founded in 1973, Likud has emerged as a major player within Israel’s political landscape. Under the leadership of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, the party has been dominant for much of the last two decades.
Political Position and Historical Context
Initially positioned to the Center-Right of the political spectrum, Likud has consistently advocated for robust military policies alongside pro-market economic strategies. The party combines the nationalistic ideals of the Herut movement, founded by Menachem Begin, with a liberal economic agenda. In the last Knesset, Likud secured 32 seats but has since seen its polling numbers drop, forecast to reach between 19 to 21 seats in the upcoming elections. This decline raises uncertainties regarding Likud’s ability to maintain its stature as the largest party within the Knesset.
Netanyahu’s Tenure and Key Issues
Over the past four years, Netanyahu and the Likud have led what has been described as Israel’s most right-wing coalition in history. This administration has navigated significant challenges, including the October 7 massacre and ongoing military conflicts with Hamas and Hezbollah. Netanyahu’s government has emphasized security as a top priority, framing his leadership as vital for Israel’s defense against various threats, including Iran. However, the coalition’s strategies have faced scrutiny, especially regarding military readiness and the management of security operations.
Domestic Policy Challenges and Controversies
Domestically, the Likud government has generated controversy, especially concerning ultra-Orthodox conscription policies and judicial reforms. These issues have polarized public opinion, creating a rift within Israeli society. Proposed legislation to solidify the status of Torah study as a core value triggered backlash over concerns about military draft evasion, particularly amid a manpower shortage in the Israeli Defense Forces. Additionally, there are ongoing debates regarding the role of the attorney-general, with proposed dismissals raising alarms about governmental oversight and accountability.
Future Prospects and Coalition Dynamics
Current polling suggests that Netanyahu’s coalition, which includes parties like Otzma Yehudit and Shas, may achieve between 50 to 55 seats, falling short of the required 61-seat majority. Speculation indicates that Netanyahu could seek alternative partners to form a stable government, given mutual accusations among coalition members. As the election approaches, a vote for Likud is effectively a vote for Netanyahu’s continued premiership. However, this might necessitate compromises with potential coalition partners.
In conclusion, as the Likud prepares for the upcoming elections, it faces numerous challenges both internally and externally. The party’s emphasis on security and military readiness, combined with its controversial domestic policies, sets the stage for a critical election that could redefine its future role in the Israeli political arena. The dynamics of coalition partnerships will likely play a significant role in determining whether Likud can secure a stable government or if it will need to adapt in light of shifting voter sentiments.